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Chinese equities rally shows potential despite mixed economic signals

Chinese equities have surged 16% to 20% since late September, reaching two-year highs, driven by optimism over government stimulus measures. Despite signs of a slowdown in the rally and disappointing details on fiscal policies, UBS maintains a positive outlook, suggesting there is still value in local equities. The brokerage highlights that clarity on fiscal measures is expected to improve as the government increases spending.
Investing.com France
Chinese Yuan UBS SA CHN IND
TradFi, Market Report
02:02 16.10.2024

ubs optimistic on china's equity markets despite recent rally slowdown

Chinese stocks have surged 16% to 20% since late September, reaching two-year highs amid optimism for government stimulus. Despite a recent slowdown due to mixed economic signals, UBS remains positive on local equities, citing supportive fiscal measures and increased government spending, although investors seek more clarity on consumption stimulus. Additionally, significant capital outflows from India suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Investing.com Deutsch
Chinese Yuan UBS SA CHN IND UBS analysts
TradFi, Market Report
02:02 16.10.2024

global markets react to economic data and corporate earnings reports

U.S. pre-market trading saw Etsy drop over 4% after a Goldman Sachs downgrade, while Coty fell more than 2% following disappointing preliminary results. In contrast, Doximity gained over 3% after an upgrade from Barclays. In corporate news, Ericsson surged over 8% on strong Q3 earnings, while Asian markets were mixed, with China's Shanghai Composite down 2.53% amid economic concerns, and Japan's Nikkei 225 up 0.77% on a weaker yen and positive Wall Street momentum.
Barchart.com
Euro Chinese Yuan United States Dollar Japanese Yen Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) UnitedHealth Group Incorporated Enerpac Tool Group Corp. Mercantile Bank Corporation Enphase Energy, Inc. Fuji Soft Incorporated J.Jill, Inc. Equity Bancshares, Inc. Tokyo Metro Co. Ltd. Hancock Whitney Corporation Coty Inc. Sono-Tek Corporation The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver & Tin Mining Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. Bank of America Corporation J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Penguin Solutions, Inc. FB Financial Corporation Fulton 2000 Partners LP The Charles Schwab Corporation Citigroup Inc. Albertsons Companies, Inc. Pinnacle Bank Omnicom Group Inc. State Street Corporation United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Doximity, Inc. The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Joe Biden Donald Trump Shigeru Ishiba Show more
TradFi, Market Report
11:42 15.10.2024

emerging markets poised for potential gains amid us election and economic shifts

Emerging markets (EM) may see potential upside as US exceptionalism wanes, with UBS forecasting a decline in US nominal GDP growth below 4% next year. This shift could lower the bar for EM, despite its own deceleration, as net portfolio flows into EM face a 20-year low. The upcoming US presidential election could further benefit EM, particularly under a divided government scenario with no new tariffs, potentially leading to a projected MSCI EM index of 1255 by the end of 2025, translating to around 10% total returns. However, challenges remain, including weak global trade, negligible EM risk premia, and potential tariff risks from China.
Investing.com
Chinese Yuan United States Dollar UBS SA CHN USA
TradFi, Market Report
09:00 15.10.2024

Chinese equities face volatility amid uncertainty over fiscal stimulus measures

Chinese equities are expected to remain volatile as investors react to the government's recent fiscal stimulus package, which has left many disappointed due to a lack of specific details on implementation. Analysts warn that if the measures fail to meet expectations, the market could face further declines. Despite initial optimism that drove indices to two-year highs, concerns over sluggish economic growth and deflation persist, with the government struggling to meet its GDP target for 2024.
Investing.com France
Chinese Yuan UBS SA Investing.com CHN
TradFi, Market Report
06:48 15.10.2024

DAX poised for record high amid ECB meeting and US earnings season

The DAX is nearing record highs as the ECB meeting and US earnings season approach. Key events include the ZEW index release, with expectations of an increase, and potential ECB rate cuts. US retail sales and unemployment claims will also be closely monitored, alongside significant data from China and major US bank earnings reports.
IG
Euro Chinese Yuan United States Dollar The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. The Procter & Gamble Company American Express Company Bank of America Corporation Morgan Stanley Citigroup Inc. DEU CHN USA American Express Netflix Morgan Stanley Procter & Gamble Christine Lagarde Show more
TradFi, Market Report
14:18 14.10.2024

global economic outlook shifts as major economies adopt pro-growth strategies

UBS Asset Management maintains an overweight stance on Gilts and JPY, citing attractive valuations and the need for aggressive BoJ revaluation. In contrast, it is underweight on Japanese Government Bonds and Switzerland due to rising wages and expensive valuations, respectively. Emerging markets, particularly BRL and ZAR, are favored for their carry potential, while U.S. equities are seen as overvalued despite strong earnings.
Asset Management
Chinese Yuan United States Dollar Japanese Yen Apple Inc. MSCI Inc. UBS SA Bank of America Corporation J.P. Morgan Alternatives Advisor Inc. USA CHN DEU Donald Trump Jerome Powell Xi Jinping Show more
TradFi, Market Report
09:00 14.10.2024

China's generative AI user base surpasses 600 million driving industrial transformation

China's generative AI models have surpassed 600 million registered users, marking a significant milestone in the country's AI industry, which boasts over 4,500 companies and 200 major models. This rapid growth is driven by technological innovation and increasing demand across sectors like manufacturing, finance, and healthcare, positioning China as a leader in both open-source and closed AI models globally. Chinese firms are also expanding internationally, leveraging vast training data to enhance AI applications and contribute to global governance in the field.
french.china.org.cn
Chinese Yuan MiniMax ByteDance CHN Li Baiyang Liu Wei Zhao Zhiguo Show more
Technology & Innovation, News Article
08:48 14.10.2024

market awaits key economic data and bank earnings reports today

Michigan's Consumer Sentiment preliminary reading is expected to rise to 70.9 in October, while key speeches from Fed officials are anticipated. In the bond market, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is at 4.092%. European markets are mixed, with the Euro Stoxx 50 futures down slightly, as investors await U.S. bank earnings and updates on China's fiscal stimulus. The U.K. economy showed growth in August, while Germany's inflation eased to 1.6%. Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei 225 rising on investor adjustments ahead of a holiday, while China's Shanghai Composite fell amid caution over potential stimulus measures. U.S. futures are down as the market awaits crucial PPI data and bank earnings.
Barchart.com
Euro British Pound Sterling United States Dollar Chinese Yuan Japanese Yen J Sainsbury plc JPMorgan Chase & Co. Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. General Motors Company Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. Fast Retailing Co., Ltd. Wells Fargo & Company The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation CHN JPN USA GBR DEU Ryozo Himino Lorie Logan Austan Goolsbee Elon Musk Michelle Bowman Show more
TradFi, Market Report
11:38 11.10.2024

US markets hit record highs as Fed signals rate cuts ahead

US stock markets hit record highs following the Federal Reserve's support for a significant interest rate cut, while optimism in Australia surged due to China's fiscal policy measures. Key economic indicators showed mixed results, with rising jobless claims and fluctuating inflation rates. Upcoming data releases include employment figures in Australia and retail sales in the US.
IG
New Zealand Dollar Australian Dollar United States Dollar Chinese Yuan Japanese Yen Westpac Banking Corporation Dow Jones & Company The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Bank of America Corporation Morgan Stanley S&P Global Inc. Netflix, Inc. CHN JPN AUS USA NZL Kate Lamb Christine Lagarde Shigeru Ishiba Show more
TradFi, Market Report
05:11 11.10.2024
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